For a fan of a rebuilding workforce just like the Orioles, the actual motion is down within the minor leagues. That’s simply how it’s. You will get excited for some guys on the large league workforce and hope that they work out, however even an optimistic state of affairs for the 2021 squad would contain a foul workforce that’s bolstered by quite a few future items beginning to escape on the MLB stage.
In an atypical yr, the start of the minor league season wouldn’t observe too far after MLB Opening Day. Though 2021 is so far not practically as unusual as 2020, it’s nonetheless not an atypical yr, both. There won’t be any minor league video games till Could this yr. We’re all going to have to attend one other month to maintain tabs on our favourite prime Orioles prospects and fringe Orioles prospects.
With no minor league video games in 2020 and loads of extra instant issues, we might all use a refresher on who’s price following within the system. I’ve taken 4 large publications prospect lists that ranked a minimum of 20 Orioles prospects – Fangraphs, The Athletic, Baseball America, and MLB Pipeline – and put collectively a composite prime prospect listing for the season.
Beginning subsequent week, we’ll be previewing these gamers in reverse order with one submit every weekday. It will lead as much as unanimous #1 Adley Rutschman on April thirtieth, with minor league seasons starting the next week. The preview posts will skip over all prospects who’ve already debuted in MLB, as a result of all of them ought to quickly exhaust their rookie/prospect eligibility (30 IP, 130 AB, or 45 days on the roster).
- Adley Rutschman
- Grayson Rodriguez
- DL Corridor
- Heston Kjerstad
- Ryan Mountcastle
- Gunnar Henderson
- Michael Baumann
- Dean Kremer
- Jordan Westburg
- Keegan Akin*
- Yusniel Diaz
- Adam Corridor
- Terrin Vavra
- Jahmai Jones
- Zac Lowther
- Ryan McKenna
- Kyle Bradish
- Hudson Haskin
- Coby Mayo**
- Tyler Nevin
* Akin was not included on the Fangraphs rating, apparently on account of an misguided perception that he has misplaced his prospect eligibility. FG positioned him at their 45 FV tier when he “graduated,” so for the needs of calculating this listing I put him in the course of the 45 FV tier – tenth.
** All rankings apart from The Athletic listed a minimum of 30 gamers. The Athletic’s stopped at 20 however listed 5 “others of notice”, which for this listing I thought-about as 21-25. I included the opposite three publications’ prime 25 names.
Since we’ll be skipping over Mountcastle, Kremer, and Akin, there may even be posts in regards to the subsequent few guys on the composite rating: Alexander Wells, Kyle Stowers, and Rylan Bannon.
One factor that stands out from wanting over this listing is that we’ve reached the purpose within the rebuild mission the place the highest prospect listing goes to have a unique look a yr from now. Three of the highest ten determine to exhaust their prospect standing by midseason.
If issues go proper for Diaz, Jones, Lowther, or McKenna, they’ll most likely be known as up and play sufficient to drop off of prospect lists. In the event that they don’t go proper for these gamers, they may fall off rankings by advantage of not having many believers remaining of their upside. Wells and Bannon, who got here up simply in need of this composite prime 20, are additionally on this class.
Primarily based on previous tendencies, the primary 2-3 picks the Orioles make within the 2021 draft are probably going to be of their prime 20 prospects for subsequent season. In order that’s as a lot as 50% turnover doable within the prime 20 from this yr to subsequent.
That’s attention-grabbing for a few causes. The primary is that if these guys drop off as a result of they’re beginning to contribute to the MLB membership and appear to be they may cling round for the following good Orioles workforce, that’s an enormous constructive signal for the course of the rebuild. The second motive is that the Orioles system depth will likely be examined by all of those graduations.
Many publications ranked them within the prime 10 of MLB farm methods, with MLB Pipeline placing them at #5 general. A whole lot of that’s pleasure for the highest three guys, Rutschman, Rodriguez, and DL Corridor, who ought to all carry over. But when the following wave of prospects doesn’t begin to look as attention-grabbing because the gamers on the cusp of graduating proper now, the farm will look lots thinner a yr from now.
It’s one thing to control because the minor league seasons transfer alongside. Who’s popping up as a result of a prime 20 prospect rating has to have 20 names, and who’s popping up as a result of he really appears higher than everybody at present thinks he’s? If some sleeper prospects begin to get up this yr, that will likely be a enjoyable signal for the close to way forward for the Orioles. If there aren’t any sleepers and no new high-level names arriving by commerce, subsequent yr’s listing may be extra like the large three and never many others of curiosity.